2014年9月27日托福寫作先行預(yù)測

第一套

綜合寫作： Primary care doctors 美國的初級醫(yī)護(hù)人員

閱讀

20，000 primary care doctors are in shortage in America, there are three reasons

1, 上醫(yī)學(xué)院學(xué)費(fèi)貴，學(xué)生需要貸款，畢業(yè)之后 primary doctors 的工資低，不夠還貸款

2，P C doctors 壓力大， 工作時間長，看的病人多，沒人愿意干這個工作

3，the opportunities to get trained are limited. 畢業(yè)后要培訓(xùn)三年才能上崗，但是 residency position 不多，導(dǎo)致很多學(xué)生畢業(yè)后得不到培訓(xùn)，之后他們就延遲培訓(xùn)或者該行

聽力

這些問題都有解決方法

1，學(xué)生入學(xué)時承諾畢業(yè)后在 primary care field 干，政府就會給他們提供幫助，比如幫助附貸款或者提供獎學(xué)金

2，可以培訓(xùn)護(hù)士，讓她們承擔(dān)一部分醫(yī)生的工作，比如開藥方，這樣醫(yī)生壓力就減少了

3，美國頒布了一個法律，規(guī)定如果畢業(yè)生三年里都沒有接受培訓(xùn)，政府就會把他們安排到其他醫(yī)院，這些醫(yī)院有 residency positions 

獨立寫作：

It is more important for a university to spend money on improving facilities (libraries, computer labs and technology in general) than to spend money on hiring famous teachers.

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第二套

綜合寫作：Electronic medication record

Reading：

It is benefit to have electronic medication record.

1. Save money

2. Less error

3. Provide research data

Listening: Disagree.

1. Doctors will keep paper records even if they have electronic records.

2. Doctors like to use paper records, and ask others to input records into computer, which will more easily to make errors. Medicine records cannot be used freely.

獨立寫作

Do you agree or disagree： celebrities are more important to younger people than they are to older people.

關(guān)鍵詞：9月27日 預(yù)測 托福寫作 托福機(jī)經(jīng) 

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第三套

綜合寫作 

閱讀：

Schools in big cities do not have enough teachers, the reading believes that signing bonuses ( offering teachers cash payment,and other financial incentives)  project can improve urban schools. 

1. Signing bonus will increase the income, usually teachers' income is low. So this project could stimulate other teacher to apply for urban schools. 

2. The Signing bonuses makes the teachers's salaries comparable with other professions, thus would attract capable candidates from other professions into teaching positions such as computer science, engineers. 

3. The signing bonuses will reduce teacher staffing problem at the beginning of a school term. They will not quit at the beginning of their jobs. Besides, They are legally obligated to pay back the money if they quit.

聽力 Listening 

The signing bonuses are not likely to solve the problem. 

1. According to a survey concerning what do teachers care the most. Salary is not the top concern. Other factors, such as how well the school administration is, how well the laboratories and libraries are, or even the commute hours matter more to some experienced teachers. So the experienced teachers are not likely to apply for urban schools only for the sake of money.

2. The biggest obstacle for other professions to enter teaching position is the stressful and long process getting the teaching certification.  They have to quit the old jobs  to prepare, which results in salary loss. If they are preparing while doing their current job, it would be more stressful. 

3. it would not be a good thing to both teachers and their students if teachers are trapped in their position. Teachers can not leave schools before they pay back the bonus money, they will not in good mood, the teaching and student will suffer.

獨立寫作： 

For any business to be successful, it must spend more money on advertising. 

第四套

綜合寫作

文章提了三個 factor contributes to the rise of Rome.但是文章尾說這三個 factor 同樣導(dǎo)致了 the downfall of Rome. 聽力內(nèi)容支持了這一說法。（聽力是支持！閱讀材料不是四段而是五段，尾有個轉(zhuǎn)折，于是聽力就接著轉(zhuǎn)折點觀點一路解釋下去了，沒有反駁閱讀觀點。）

1. military factor: 閱讀認(rèn)為：Rome recruit soldiers from its conquered land and motivate them to join Rome army。聽力反駁：not only soldiers but officers of Rome are of other nationality. They are disloyal to the empire and finally became against to it.

2.political factor.閱讀里: the unchallenged power of the leader, the emperor， allow the empire to undertake great project, such as war.聽力反駁： the unchallenged power is beneficial only when these projects are for the whole nation's sake. however, many emperor use their power for their own sake, such as building palace on the conquered land.

3. economic factor. 閱讀：Rome have a great amount of tax income from its farmers for the administration and defence of the empire. 聽力反駁：the cost of administration and defence of the empire increases along with the tax income. the tax rate become higher and higher and finally cause farmers' dislike and hatred for the Rome rules.

獨立寫作：

Your job has overall greater happiness than your social life do.

關(guān)鍵詞：9月27日 預(yù)測 托福寫作 托福機(jī)經(jīng)

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第五套

綜合寫作： Business

閱讀提出了三種提高銷量的方法，聽力給予反駁。

1. New version of existing products, 反駁的店是如果老顧客不喜歡新版又會覺得用舊版很過時，就會放棄對這個牌子飲料的消費(fèi)

2. New product related to the brand.  反駁的是如果舊的 vehicle的賣點是 tough,如果新產(chǎn)品如 boots沒有這樣的 quality,就會給公司帶來 bad reputation.反駁是如果原來買冰淇淋的廠商開始賣巧克力了，會增加巧克力的競爭者。

3. 聯(lián)合生產(chǎn)。 反駁的是如果產(chǎn)品一個企業(yè)生產(chǎn)不了那么可以幾個公司合作，要不沒什么用。舉了一個冰淇淋和巧克力的例子。可以如果有一天生產(chǎn)巧克力的那家公司開始自己生產(chǎn)冰淇淋，不再依賴冰淇淋公司，會導(dǎo)致從合作變成競爭關(guān)系。

獨立寫作：

是否同意如下觀點： Many people spend lot of time watching sports programs on TV or following their favourite sports teams. Doing these two things will have negative impacts on their life. 你同不同意花太多時間在看運(yùn)動比賽或者追隨自己喜歡的隊伍上?

第六套

綜合寫作：野牛數(shù)量的下降

Reading：

1. 人將它作為了 source of food

2. Migrators 帶來的 competing for grassland

3. 新科技的發(fā)展，如槍的發(fā)展

Listening:

1. 人是從東部遷徙過去的，但是野牛數(shù)量下降時從西邊開始的，東部也吃野牛，但是數(shù)量沒有下降。

2. 野�？梢栽诤�冷的天氣下生存，有很厚的皮，還可以吃雪下面的草而牛和馬在冷環(huán)境下無法存活。 過去的狩獵武器跟新武器一樣有效，所以新武器出現(xiàn)后威力更大的說法是說不通的。

獨立寫作

Do you agree or disagree with the following statement: student should take at least one year to work or travel before they go to university. 學(xué)生現(xiàn)在喜歡 gap year，高中畢業(yè)后花一年去 trip 或 work 再去大學(xué)，你怎么看？

關(guān)鍵詞：9月27日 預(yù)測 托福寫作 托福機(jī)經(jīng)

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